Looking ahead to next season

Just like the season before, Georgia will be losing two key seniors from its roster as it heads into the offseason. With the departures of Kenny Gaines and Charles Mann, UGA will need to replace 23.7 points per night.  In addition to the loss of offensive production, the Dawgs will also need someone to step up and assume the role of shutdown defender that Gaines has occupied for the past four years.

The good news, however, is that Coach Mark Fox’s team returns its two leading scorers, J.J. Frazier and Yante Maten, both of whom finished with over 16 points per game.  Frazier and Maten were named to the postseason All-SEC second team this year, and surely they will each find a spot on the preseason All-SEC first team heading into next season.  Georgia is fortunate to have bonafide stars at both the guard and forward positions.

The biggest concern offensively for the Dawgs next year at this point has to be perimeter shooting.  Both Frazier and Gaines knocked down over 38% of their three-point tries this year, but Gaines is gone, leaving Georgia with only one legitimate outside threat.  What happens when J.J. has to sit?

Georgia’s incoming freshman guards, Tyree Crump and Jordan Harris, each connected on over 40% of their shots from beyond the arc in their senior seasons in high school.  At least one of these guys will need to come in an establish himself as an outside scorer from the start.  I also understand that Mark Fox is actively recruiting a graduate transfer for next year, so here’s to crossing my fingers and hoping that he gets one who can fill it up from the perimeter.

Joining Yante Maten in the paint will be sophomores Derek Ogbeide and Michael Edwards. Ogbeide proved himself to be a tenacious rebounder in his freshman campaign, averaging over 5 boards per contest in just 15 minutes a game.  Next year he should see increased minutes, and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see the big fella ring up more than a few double-doubles.

Michael Edwards is an intriguing player who could either have a Travis Leslie-esque jump next year, or he could continue doing more of the same from what we saw this season.  If you recall, Leslie appeared wild and uncoordinated in his first year of UGA basketball, netting just 6 points a game. However, Leslie burst onto the season in year number two, netting nearly 15 points and 7 rebounds a night.  Much like Leslie, Edwards, who possesses an imposing 6’9″ frame, showed signs of that same sort of raw athleticism as a freshman. If Edwards can learn to improve his footwork and get better control of his body, Dawgs fans could see significant gains from the sophomore big.

ESPN released its “Way too early Top 25” and Joe Lunardi posted his initial “Bracketology” for the 2017 season; Georgia wasn’t included in either of them.  Maybe its for the best, since the Dawgs were projected in the NCAA tournament field by Lunardi prior to this year and, well, we all know how that turned out.

But make no mistake: UGA SHOULD make the NCAA tournament next season with the personnel the Dawgs are returning.  Whether that happens or not is on Coach Mark Fox.  In the past five regular seasons, Georgia is now 4-34 against the RPI Top 50, a record that is truly atrocious.  Playing good competition is not enough.  At some point, UGA needs to break through and start winning some of these games.  Another NIT appearance is unacceptable.

Advertisements

8 thoughts on “Looking ahead to next season

  1. Points well taken about our record against quality competition. Next year is crucial, in my opinion, for Fox and this program. As for player additions, I still hope that there is a quality small forward who is in the mix. Wilridge may or may not develop, and though Geno is getting better, he can’t carry the load by himself. The guard position is also a source of concern unless one of the freshmen steps up big time. If so, we’ll get by there as both Turtle and JJ can run the point. I, too, see the potential in Edwards–we’ll know a lot more by the opening of the SEC schedule in January. And this team badly needs a strong floor leader. JJ, being a rising Sr, may get there, but we don’t have anyone with the strong (leadership) presence that Marcus Thornton gave us year before this past one.

    Like

  2. That record against the top 50 is devastating. I know we have a lot of wins against teams 50-60 but interestingly those are teams that don’t make the NCAA. You are right that Coach Fox needs to take the next step in the 2017 SEC season. I have a good feeling we can do it, as we will have a star senior PG in JJ that should be one of the very best players in the conference if not the nation.

    Like

  3. Hoop – whats the scoop on Parker? Coach Fox seems to think he is key to our team but I don’t remember being impressed with him and had pretty much f forgotten about him.

    Like

    1. I wasn’t that impressed either – he’s a 6’4″ guard who can’t shoot. In his first two years in Athens, he made just 19% and 20% from the three-point line.

      Georgia needs another outside threat for next season or Dawgs’ fans will need to get ready for more of those 4 to 10 minute scoring droughts.

      Like

  4. Well I got my recruiting wish for a small forward with today’s signing of Pape Diatta. Hope it works out. I would also be OK doing whatever might be necessary to sign Daniel Giddens, the center transferring somewhere from Ohio State. He is a Georgian and would have three years of eligibility. And he would become eligible just as Maten will be leaving for the NBA (I fear). He was a 4 star coming out of high school so there must be some talent there.

    Like

  5. Hoop – I hear that Pape Diatta looks like a contributor. How much could a strong 3/4 swingman help the Dawgs this season?

    Like

    1. Seth Emerson’s report from the practice the other day suggested that Diatta was going to contribute immediately. Obviously the more Fox has to run around JJ and Maten the better.

      Like

  6. I’m not sure the NCAA’s are do or die. I think McGarity is already feeling the heat after a shakey start by Kirby Smart. I have definitely have higher expectations than the NIT for the Dawgs but I feel like support for the basketball team is at pretty low levels. Still I think we kind of know what to expect with Fox 16-20 wins and possibly scrape into the NCCA’s. Hopefully he can get better at recruiting.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s