UGA basketball: advanced metrics edition

Player efficiency rating is an advanced metric developed by ESPN’s John Hollinger.  In short, it’s a player’s per-minute productivity, which rewards players for field goals, free throws, 3-pointers, rebounds, steals, blocks and assists, and penalizes them for missed shots, turnovers and personal fouls.

PER allows us to summarize a player’s statistical accomplishments in one number, and it also provides the opportunity to compare players who may not play the same number of minutes on a nightly basis.

Yesterday, I calculated the PER for the UGA basketball team (minus Brandon Young, since he doesn’t average 6 minutes a game).  The results can be seen below:

  MIN PER
Yante Maten 31.5 25.7
Derek Ogbeide 16.1 18.4
Jordan Harris 11.3 16.6
J.J. Frazier 32.1 15.0
Mike Edwards 20.5 10.6
E’Torrion Wilridge 11.3 9.0
Kenny Paul Geno 12.6 8.7
Juwan Parker 25.6 8.0
Tyree Crump 7.0 7.4
Pape Diatta 12.0 6.5
William Jackson II 20.4 5.5
Houston Kessler 7.0 -2.2

 

A couple of notes and takeaways:

  • I included the Morehouse game in this analysis, but in his national rankings, Hollinger does not.  That being said, Yante Maten’s PER for the 7 games against Division I competition is 30.31, which ranks him 38th in the nation in that category.  If you weren’t already aware, Maten is HIGHLY efficient when he’s on the court.
  • Coach Mark Fox is not getting much out of Turtle Jackson and Juwan Parker other than minutes played.  It has to be a bummer for Fox that his starting guard and wing rank 11th (second worst) and 8th on the team in productivity, respectively.  He could, however, make a managerial decision to play these two less and replace their minutes with players that are giving him more.  Like, say, Jordan Harris? 
  • Derek Ogbeide, who has been far more productive than Mike Edwards thus far, is yielding 4 minutes a game to him.  Anyone who has been to or watched UGA basketball this year has surely noticed how often Fox pulls Ogbeide within the first two to three minutes of the game.  Fox’s reasons for yanking Derek haven’t been due to foul trouble, as Ogbeide has 18 personal fouls this year to Edwards’s 17, which leaves me wondering why he isn’t staying on the floor longer.

UGA’s most productive starting five at this point in the season would include Maten, Ogbeide, Edwards, Harris and J.J. Frazier.  While that lineup would present some size issues for opposing teams, I’m not sure how well it would defend against teams with quicker perimeter players.

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One thought on “UGA basketball: advanced metrics edition

  1. Harris MIN TO PER is +5.3 while Parker’s is -17.6. Clearly, one player is more productive. If Parker was a smothering defensive player, you could justify his PT, but he’s not. CMF needs to figure out who his players are before SEC play starts. But I doubt his preferences will change much.

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